Deutsche Bank: There is little hope that the British economy will rebound at the end of the year. Sanjay Raja, an economist at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a research report that the British economy will face more twists and turns in the future. Data released on Friday showed that Britain's GDP contracted again in October from the previous month, which surprised the market. Raja said that business surveys predict that economic activity will further weaken in the last few months of this year. In his research report, he reminded investors that the uncertainty in taxation and expenditure, coupled with the reduction in retail and service consumption caused by bad weather, added more resistance to Britain's fragile economic recovery.During the policy landing period, the market may become a structural market, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks. On December 13, the Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) closed down by 1.93%, with a turnover of 35.7287 million yuan. Puyin International pointed out that next year, before the two sessions next year, it will enter the policy landing period, and more detailed policies will be gradually implemented. The superimposed overseas uncertainty may increase with Trump's coming to power, so we expect the market to present a structural market. Based on the profit growth rate, capital stock, liquidity and market sentiment, the overall performance of A shares may be more stable than that of overseas Chinese shares. Investment trading strategy suggests both offensive and defensive. When the market sentiment improves and the stock index rebounds, it is expected that the high beta sector, such as non-bank finance, optional and mandatory consumption, real estate and other sectors and individual stocks may be more elastic. When the market sentiment is low and the stock index fluctuates downward, funds may prefer more defensive sectors, such as telecommunications services. There are many high-quality and high-interest stocks in the defensive sector. There is still room for the Bank of China to cut interest rates further next year, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks.Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.
JPMorgan Chase: The target price of Netflix was raised from $850 to $1,010, and the "overweight" rating was maintained.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Hailide: PPS filament products have not yet been involved in the field of humanoid robots. Hailide said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company has been deeply involved in the field of materials for many years, and with the continuous investment in research and development, the commercialization of PPS filament has been realized. At present, the product has not yet been involved in the field of humanoid robots. In the future, the company will strive to gradually realize mass production applications in related emerging fields, and is full of confidence in this.
Some short-term inter-bank bonds performed brilliantly. The yield of 2-year active bonds "21 interest-bearing bonds 02" went down 5bp to reach 1.1%, which was 11bp upside down from the current 1-year active bonds "24 discount bonds 67" yield of 1.21%.It is reported that Canada is considering imposing export taxes on commodities such as uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying the imposition of export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash, in the case that Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first. However, these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, the commodity export tax is a practical option, which will push up the costs of American consumers, farmers and enterprises. They said that the Trudeau government may also propose to expand its export control power in the latest report on the country's financial and economic situation scheduled to be released on Monday. It is reported that Canada is currently the largest external oil supplier in the United States. Some refineries rely on cheaper Canadian heavy crude oil, and there are few other options. The impact of rising costs is particularly severe in the Midwest of the United States, where nearly half of the crude oil used by fuel producers to produce gasoline and diesel comes from Canada.The main contract of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index futures (IF) fell by 2.00% in the day and is now reported at 3,955.2 points.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14